Strategy / Decision-making / Thinking

Table of contents

Child pages

• Business strategy
• Distributed decision-making
• General principles of strategy / tactics / decision-making
• How to spend the 'right' amount of time making a decision
• John Boyd
• Military strategy

Related pages

• Strategy Games & Board Games
• Times I Have Been Wrong and Efforts to Prevent Future Such Mistakes

• Wikipedia - SWOT Analysis

• http://rationality.org/
  • http://rationality.org/reading/

• 1995 - Charlie Munger - The Psychology of Human Misjudgment
  • Later, updated version: Charlie Munger - The Psychology of Human Misjudgement
  • TODO: Summarize his explanations and examples.
  • List of the common causes of human misjudgment:
    • Under-recognition of the power of what psychologists call “reinforcement” and economists call “incentives” / Reward and punishment superresponse tendency
    • Simple psychological denial
    • Incentive-cause bias
    • Bias from consistency and commitment tendency
    • Bias from Pavlovian association
    • Bias from reciprocation tendency
    • Bias from over-influence by social proof
    • Better to be roughly right than precisely wrong
    • Bias from contrast-caused distortions of sensation, perception and cognition
    • Bias from over-influence by authority
    • Bias from deprival super-reaction syndrome
    • Bias from envy/jealousy
    • Bias from chemical dependency
    • Bias from mis-gambling compulsion
    • Bias from liking distortion
    • Bias from the non-mathematical nature of the human brain
    • Bias from over-influence by extra-vivid evidence
    • Mental confusion caused by information not arrayed in the mind
    • Other normal limitations of sensation, memory, cognition and knowledge
    • Stress-induced mental changes
    • Other common mental illnesses and declines
    • Mental and organizational confusion from say-something syndrome

Books

• Critical Thinking
  • It's on some US Marines reading list. It looks pretty good.